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AUD/USD pressures as Fed officials hold firm on rate policy
The Australian Dollar is on the defensive against the US Dollar, as Friday’s Asian session commences. On Thursday, the antipodean clocked losses of 0.21% against its counterpart, driven by Fed officials emphasizing they’re in no rush to ease policy. The AUD/USD trades around 0.6419.
EUR/USD extends its downside below 1.0650 on hawkish Fed remarks
The EUR/USD extends its downside around 1.0640 after retreating from weekly peaks of 1.0690 on Friday during the early Asian session. The hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials provide some support to the US Dollar.
Gold price edges higher on risk-off mood hawkish Fed signals
Gold prices advanced late in the North American session on Thursday, underpinned by heightened geopolitical risks involving Iran and Israel. Federal Reserve officials delivered hawkish messages, triggering a jump in US Treasury yields, which boosted the Greenback.
Runes likely to have massive support after BRC-20 and Ordinals frenzy
With all eyes peeled on the halving, Bitcoin is the center of attention in the market. The pioneer cryptocurrency has had three narratives this year already, starting with the spot BTC exchange-traded funds, the recent all-time high of $73,777, and now the halving.
Billowing clouds of apprehension
Thursday marked the fifth consecutive session of decline for US stocks as optimism regarding multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve waned. The downturn in sentiment can be attributed to robust economic data releases, prompting traders to adjust their expectations for multiple rate cuts this year.
DEEPER DIVE
Cyclical outlook: Known unknowns
In the US, the latest Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia paints a rather upbeat picture of the economic outlook. A similar survey of the ECB points towards a gradual pickup in growth this year.
Building the future
There is a construction boom underway that is quietly transforming the production capabilities and other aspects of the US economy. The fastest-growing category within nonresidential construction in recent years has been manufacturing.
Addressing the public debt challenge in the EU
Recently an agreement has been reached between representatives of the European Council, the European Parliament, and the European Commission on a new economic governance framework.
FXS Signals
Technical Confluences Detector
XAU/USD is closely monitoring geopolitics Premium
Prices of the yellow metal left behind two consecutive daily pullbacks and posted decent gains on Thursday, although another test or surpass of the $2,400 mark per troy ounce remained elusive.
On another front, the US markets kicked off the session in a mixed tone amidst dominating risk-off sentiment that saw the Greenback regain its composure following Wednesday’s marked retracement. A glimpse to other markets showed Asian stocks edging higher and European equities trading mostly on the defensive, while market participants continued to assess the financial meeting between the US, Japan, and South Korea, where these countries pledged to “engage in close consultation" regarding FX markets, after concerns from Tokyo and Seoul regarding the recent significant depreciation of their currencies.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
MANTA suffers 4% pullback after unlocking tokens worth $40 million
Manta Network (MANTA) unlocked over 8% of its circulating supply on Thursday. The unlocked tokens were airdropped and distributed in public sale, according to data from Tokenunlocks.
XRP struggles to recover as lingering Ripple lawsuit could reach Supreme Court, former SEC litigator says
The SEC vs. Ripple potential showdown at the Supreme Court is likely, says former SEC litigator Ladan Stewart. XRP Ledger calls developers, businesses and investors to build on the blockchain, extending Apex 2024 registration until April 30.
Bitcoin Layer 2 Merlin chain TVL climbs 20%, defying broad market correction
Merlin chain’s TVL added 20% this week, and crossed $800 million on Thursday. Bitcoin Layer 2 assets noted double-digit losses in the past week. Stacks, Elastos, SatoshiVM, BVM are hit by a correction as Bitcoin hovers around $61,000.
If Bitcoin restarts bull run, these altcoins are likely to explode Premium
If Bitcoin’s consolidation ends and the bull run resumes, altcoins are likely going to trigger a massive rally. Last cycle’s hot tokens like SOL, AVAX, WIF, ONDO, etc., could see renewed enthusiasm.
THE STOCK OF THE DAY
US stock markets bounce from our buy levels
Emini S&P June futures headed lower as predicted to my target & strong support at 5050/40. We made a low for the day exactly here as predicted. Emini Nasdaq if you were short on the break below 18,000 or managed to short on the bounce towards this level.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD: The return of King Dollar Premium
The USD soared this week, sending EUR/USD to its lowest since November. Hotter-than-anticipated inflation in the United States (US) was the main reason behind the renewed strength of the USD, although it was not the only one.
GBP/USD: Pound Sterling extends losses on mounting geopolitical tensions, BoE-Fed divergence Premium
The Pound Sterling (GBP) resumed its downside against the US Dollar (USD), sending the GBP/USD pair to the lowest level in four months below 1.2500.
US Dollar: Touching five-month highs as Fed rate cuts are likely to be delayed again Premium
The Greenback advanced for the third consecutive session on Friday, taking the USD Index (DXY) just beyond the 106.00 barrier, an area last traded in early November.
Gold: XAU/USD pays no mind to USD rally, sets historic highs Premium
Gold price (XAU/USD) looked like it was on the verge of a deep correction on Wednesday but it gathered bullish momentum in the second half of the week, advancing to a fresh all-time high above $2,400.
Bitcoin: BTC’s rangebound movement leaves traders confused
Bitcoin (BTC) price has been hovering around the $70,000 psychological level for a few weeks, resulting in a rangebound movement. This development could lead to a massive liquidation on either side before a directional move is established.
Week ahead – More inflation data on the way as rate cut bets thrown into disarray
CPI numbers due in the UK, Japan, Canada and New Zealand. China to also come into the spotlight as Q1 GDP eyed. US retail sales to kickstart the week as earnings season gets underway.
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